Quantitative Intelligence Analysis describes the model-based method of intelligence analysis that represents the analyst’s mental models of a subject, as well as the analyst’s reasoning process exposing what the analyst believes about ...
Author: Edward Waltz
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Quantitative Intelligence Analysis describes the model-based method of intelligence analysis that represents the analyst’s mental models of a subject, as well as the analyst’s reasoning process exposing what the analyst believes about the subject, and how they arrived at those beliefs and converged on analytic judgments. It includes: Specific methods of explicitly representing the analyst’s mental models as computational models; Dynamic simulations and interactive analytic games; The structure of an analyst’s mental model and the theoretical basis for capturing and representing the tacit knowledge of these models explicitly as computational models detailed description of the use of these models in rigorous, structured analysis of difficult targets; Model illustrations and simulation descriptions; The role of models in support of collection and operations; Case studies that illustrate a wide range of intelligence problems; And a recommended curriculum for technical analysts.
... Anthony Viola. 2008. 3. An Introduction to Intelligence Research and Analysis,
by Jerome Clauser, revised and edited by Jan ... Quantitative Intelligence
Analysis: Applied Analytic Models, Simulations and Games, by Edward Waltz.
Author: Lisa Merriam
Because Islamic jihad wins through marketing, Weaponized Marketing proposes to fight back with this marketing battle plan that uses the techniques that built the world's leading brands to succeed where military might and diplomacy have failed.--Peter Huessy, President, Geostrategic Analysis of Potomac Maryland and Director of Strategic Deterrent Studies at the Mitchell Institute of the AIr Force Association and Guest Instructor, US Naval Academy
This book acquaints students and analysts with how intelligence fits into the larger research framework.
Author: Hank Prunckun
Publisher: Scarecrow Press
With the exponential growth in the intelligence field in the last few years, the profession has grown much larger and its mission more complex. Government and private sector security agencies have recruited intelligence analysts to process what has become a voluminous amount of raw information flowing into these agencies' data collection systems. Unfortunately, there is an unmet need for analysts who are able to process these data. For this reason there are a growing number of colleges and universities that offer intelligence training so that candidates for analyst positions can take-up their duties without protracted on-the-job instruction. Handbook of Scientific Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis offers students in such courses a way of gaining the analytic skills essential to undertake intelligence work. This book acquaints students and analysts with how intelligence fits into the larger research framework. It covers not only the essentials of applied research but also explains the function, structure, and operational methods specifically involved in intelligence work. It looks at how analysts work with classified information in a security conscious environment, as well as obtaining data via covert methods. Students are left with little doubt about what intelligence is and how it is developed using scientific methods of inquiry.
14 Quantitative Techniques When you hear “ calculated risk , ” don ' t ask to see
the calculations . Dr . Gus Weiss former assistant secretary of defense for space
policy M any intelligence fields rely heavily on quantitative methods .
Author: Robert M. Clark
Publisher: C Q Press College
For years intelligence analysis has followed a decision-making process that is hierarchical in nature and linear in flow, wherein analysts are insulated from valuable and critical feedback. It's a model that no longer makes sense for today's world. Analysts in all fields work in an environment dramatically changed by technology and greatly impacted by new, politically-charged considerations. A flatter, horizontal, networked solution has proven to be much more effective. In his ground-breaking book, Dr. Robert Clark addresses this crucial shift in focus with clear, straightforward instructions on the advantages of a collaborative, target-centric process that fully attends to the needs of the customer. Designed to give analysts and practitioners state-of-the-art, practical information and skills, Intelligence Analysis guides readers through the art of target modeling and organizational analysis, as well as quantitative and predictive techniques. Intelligence collectors, consumers, and analysts can and should work together to create and share a conceptual model of the intelligence target. Simply put, it's a smarter, more sensible way to collect, synthesize, and utilize intelligence. The author makes extensive use of real-world examples and cases and employs nearly 100 graphic elements to illustrate the versatility and effectiveness of his methodology. A good read, a handy reference source, and a proven toolkit, practitioners in both industry and academia should not miss the opportunity to do intelligence in a more intelligent manner.
ABSTRACT OF THE THESIS The Utility of Quantitative Methods for Political
Intelligence Analysis : A Case Study in Latin America by Robert M. Levinson
Master of Arts in Latin American Studies University of California , San Diego ,
Author: Robert M. Levinson
The paper examines the suitability of current intelligence analysis developed during the Cold War era and finds a lack of quantitative techniques that are prevalent in academic social science research. Several areas where quantitative research might be applied successfully to intelligence analysis are proposed. A case study examining political instability in Latin America is utilized to demonstrate how these techniques might be applied. Data is taken from the World Handbook of Political and Social Indicators for nineteen Latin American countries. Two simple models are developed using bivariate and multiple regression techniques applied to time series analysis. A scenario for how these models might be applied in the intelligence collection, analysis, and policy formation process is postulated. The paper concludes that quantitative methods can have significant utility for the intelligence community in concert with current analytical methods. Suggestions are provided as to how these techniques might be incorporated into the intelligence community.
... not the analysis of the AHP data is valid or subjective . Robert E . Stake in The
Art of Case Study Research would respond to this question by asserting that “ All
research depends on interpretation . . . . Standard qualitative sea designs call for
Author: Lorne Teitelbaum
Compares how policymakers' use of intelligence to support the policymaking process has changed. The intelligence community's Intelink network, the Internet, and web-based sources of analysis have not become major contributors to the policymaking process. Policymakers still find intelligence analysis useful for supporting the policymaking process, especially when it is conveyed through a one-on-one intelligence briefing.
Artificial Intelligence Artificial intelligence in the form of " expert systems " is now
currently available in one form or ... about a problem and applies the rules from
the knowledge base to Is Automation the Future of Quantitative Chromatography
Author: Elena Katz
Publisher: John Wiley & Son Limited
This is the only book that covers only quantitative techniques of all chromatography methods. Contributors, experts in the field, present general concepts applicable to all types of analyses performed by chromatographic techniques, and treat in detail principles of quantitative detection and sources of error in data processing procedures. Chapters cover liquid chromatography, gas chromatography, thin-layer chromatography, detection methods, detector performance, data handling procedures, and automation procedures. Included is discussion of chromatographic applications in physical chemistry and in pharmaceutical analysis.