The Demographic Cliff

Bestselling author and financial guru Harry Dent shows why we’re facing a “great deflation” after five years of desperate stimulus — and what to do about it now Throughout his long career as an economic forecaster, Harry Dent has ...

The Demographic Cliff

Author: Harry S. Dent Jr.

Publisher: Penguin

ISBN: 0698156862

Page: 368

View: 887

Bestselling author and financial guru Harry Dent shows why we’re facing a “great deflation” after five years of desperate stimulus — and what to do about it now Throughout his long career as an economic forecaster, Harry Dent has relied on a not-so-secret weapon: demographics. Studying the predictable things people do as they age is the ultimate tool for understanding trends. For instance, Dent can tell a client exactly when people will spend the most on potato chips. And he can explain why our economy has risen and fallen with the peak spending of generations, and why we now face a growing demographic cliff with the accelerating retirement of the Baby Boomers around the world. Dent predicted the impact of the Boomers hitting their highest growth in spending in the 1990s, when most economists saw the United States declining. And he anticipated the decline of Japan in the 1990s, when economists were proclaiming it would overtake the U.S. economy. But now, Dent argues, the fundamental demographics have turned against the United States and will hit more countries ahead. Inflation rises when a larger than usual block of younger people enter the workforce, and it wanes when large numbers of older people retire, downsize their homes, and cut their spending. The mass retirement of the Boomers won’t just hold back inflation; it and massive debt deleveraging will actually cause deflation—weakening the economy the most from 2014 into 2019. Dent explores the implications of his controversial predictions. He offers advice on retirement planning, health care, real estate, education, investing, and business strategies. For instance . . . BUSINESSES should get lean and mean now. Identify segments that you can clearly dominate and sell off or shut down others. If you don’t, the economy will do it for you, more painfully and less profitably. INVESTORS should sell stocks by mid-January 2014 and look to buy them back in 2015 or later at a Dow as low as 5,800. FAMILIES should wait to buy real estate in areas where home prices have gone back to where the bubble started in early 2000. GOVERNMENTS need to stop the endless stimulus that creates more bubbles and kills the middle class, and should assist in restructuring the unprecedented debt bubble of 1983–2008. Dent shows that if you take the time to understand demographic data, using it to your advantage isn’t all that difficult. By following his suggestions, readers will be able to find the upside to the downturn and learn how to survive and prosper during the most challenging years ahead.

Zero Hour

Now he returns with the definitive guide to protect your investments and prosper in the age of the anti-globalist backlash.

Zero Hour

Author: Harry S. Dent, Jr.

Publisher: Penguin

ISBN: 052553606X

Page: 336

View: 523

Harry S. Dent Jr., bestselling author of The Demographic Cliff and The Sale of a Lifetime, predicted the populist wave that has driven the Brexit vote, the election of Donald Trump, and other recent shocks around the world. Now he returns with the definitive guide to protect your investments and prosper in the age of the anti-globalist backlash. The turn of the 2020s will mark an extremely rare convergence of low points for multiple political, economic, and demographic cycles. The result will be a major financial crash and global upheaval that will dwarf the Great Recession of the 2000s—and maybe even the Great Depression of the 1930s. We’re facing the onset of what Dent calls “Economic Winter.” In Zero Hour, he and Andrew Pancholi (author of The Market Timing Report newsletter) explain all of these cycles, which influence everything from currency valuations to election returns, from economic growth rates in Asia to birthrates in Europe. You’ll learn, for instance: • Why the most-hyped technologies of recent years (self-driving cars, artificial intelligence, virtual reality, blockchain) won’t pay off until the 2030s. • Why China may be the biggest bubble in the global economy (and you’d be a fool to invest there). • Why you should invest in the healthcare and pharmaceutical industries, and pull out of real estate and automotive. • Why putting your faith in gold is a bad idea. Fortunately, Zero Hour includes a range of practical strategies to help you turn the upheaval ahead to your advantage, so your family can be prepared and protected.

The Sale of a Lifetime

In this pressing book, you'll learn not only why a collapse is imminent, but how to identify bubbles and tune in to the cycles driving that drive booms and busts.

The Sale of a Lifetime

Author: Harry S. Dent, Jr.

Publisher: Penguin

ISBN: 0735217750

Page: 272

View: 158

After the Roaring '20s came the Great Depression. After the Roaring 2000s came the Great Recession. We're now entering the winter season of the 80-Year Four Season Economic Cycle. It's during this season that we'll clear the decks with a devastating crash and debilitating deflation. The economy and markets will shed the excesses created during the preceding fall bubble boom season and prepare the soil for new blossoming in innovation and a spring boom. After the blustering bull market of 2009-2015, we are now preparing for a shakeout more painful than anything we've seen before. We have eight years of unprecedented government stimulus and money creation to thank for stretching this bubble beyond imagination and making the burst more painful than anything we've ever experienced. There's no better guide to financial cycles than Harry S. Dent Jr., the bestselling author of The Demographic Cliff and many other books, and the editor of the Boom & Bust newsletter. For more than 30 years he has earned a reputation for eerily accurate predictions about the world economy and the financial markets. Now Dent has an urgent new warning about the next crisis. The consequences will be devastating--but there's a bright side that he's calling "the sale of a lifetime." For anyone who heeds the signs and follows Dent's advice, the looming correction is a once-in-a-century opportunity to gather immense wealth. In this pressing book, you'll learn not only why a collapse is imminent, but how to identify bubbles and tune in to the cycles driving that drive booms and busts. Practical, accessible, and illuminating, The Sale of a Lifetime will protect you from the tough challenges ahead and help you cash in on the unique opportunities of the next few years. At stake is nothing less than your entire financial future.

Intimacy and Reproduction in Contemporary Japan

demographic. cliff. Be young – though not too young – and procreate.
Demographic changes have fomented one of the most ... a sense of social crisis
due to the inevitable shrinking of the population: Japan is 'tumbling off a
demographic cliff'.

Intimacy and Reproduction in Contemporary Japan

Author: Genaro Castro-Vázquez

Publisher: Routledge

ISBN: 1317265351

Page: 214

View: 249

This book presents an ethnographic investigation of intimate and reproductive behaviour in current Japanese society, grounded in the viewpoints of a group of Japanese mothers. It adopts a new approach in studying the decreasing fertility rates which are contributing to the ageing population in modern Japan. Based on the accounts of 57 married Japanese women, it employs symbolic interactionism as a framework to examine the various factors affecting decision-making on childbirth. The influence of Assisted Reproductive Technologies (ARTs), abortion and contraception in the daily interactions and experiences of the mothers are analysed to offer a new perspective on the Japanese demographic conundrum. With strong contextual information as the foundation, the book contributes fresh insight into how Japanese women perceive the idea of childbirth in a modernized society, and also assists our understanding of the factors causing Japan’s ageing population. Further, it places the mothers’ experiences within current global debates to highlight the salience of the Japanese case. As the first book to provide an in-depth examination of the social process underpinning the decision to become a mother in Japan, it will appeal to students and scholars of Japanese culture and society, Gender Studies, and Sociology.

Coloniality in the Cliff Swallow

1.6 SUMMARY The central theme of this book is the effect of group size on social
behavior and demography in the colonially breeding cliff swallow . Why do these
birds live in colonies , and why do those colonies vary in size ? Considerable ...

Coloniality in the Cliff Swallow

Author: Charles R. Brown

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

ISBN: 9780226076263

Page: 566

View: 522

Many animal species live and breed in colonies. Although biologists have documented numerous costs and benefits of group living, such as increased competition for limited resources and more pairs of eyes to watch for predators, they often still do not agree on why coloniality evolved in the first place. Drawing on their twelve-year study of a population of cliff swallows in Nebraska, the Browns investigate twenty-six social and ecological costs and benefits of coloniality, many never before addressed in a systematic way for any species. They explore how these costs and benefits are reflected in reproductive success and survivorship, and speculate on the evolution of cliff swallow coloniality. This work, the most comprehensive and detailed study of vertebrate coloniality to date, will be of interest to all who study social animals, including behavioral ecologists, population biologists, ornithologists, and parasitologists. Its focus on the evolution of coloniality will also appeal to evolutionary biologists and to psychologists studying decision making in animals.

Generation Unbound

What America really faces is a demographic cliff: The root cause of most of our
problems is our declining fertility rate.” These problems, according to Last,
include not just an aging population but also less innovation, lower productivity,
slower ...

Generation Unbound

Author: Isabel V. Sawhill

Publisher: Brookings Institution Press

ISBN: 0815725590

Page: 212

View: 712

Over half of all births to young adults in the United States now occur outside of marriage, and many are unplanned. The result is increased poverty and inequality for children. The left argues for more social support for unmarried parents; the right argues for a return to traditional marriage. In Generation Unbound, Isabel V. Sawhill offers a third approach: change "drifters" into "planners." In a well-written and accessible survey of the impact of family structure on child well-being, Sawhill contrasts "planners," who are delaying parenthood until after they marry, with "drifters," who are having unplanned children early and outside of marriage. These two distinct patterns are contributing to an emerging class divide and threatening social mobility in the United States. Sawhill draws on insights from the new field of behavioral economics, showing that it is possible, by changing the default, to move from a culture that accepts a high number of unplanned pregnancies to a culture in which adults only have children when they are ready to be a parent.

Stand Out Succeed

. . This is the best guide I have seen for how to present your unique talents to the world in a time wherein innovation and creativity to succeed will matter more than ever.’—Harry S. Dent Jr., author of The Demographic Cliff

Stand Out   Succeed

Author: Christy Frank

Publisher: Nero

ISBN: 1863957642

Page: 288

View: 206

In today’s economy, being qualified is not enough . . . Do you want advice on how to stand out in a crowded marketplace? Do you want to take your career to the next level and beyond? In Stand Out & Succeed, career and business strategist Christy Frank explains how the job market really works, and shows you the strategies, psychology and tactics you need to know to get a lucrative, recession-proof career you love. The biggest problem with finding a job today is that we actually have two job markets – the public and the gated – and 95 per cent of people don’t know how to perform well in either. Stand Out & Succeed is both practical and transformational, giving readers a new perspective on themselves and showing them how they can attract potential employers or clients. Written for graduates, freelancers and professionals alike, Stand Out & Succeed is a cutting-edge guide that shows you how to discover your passion, accelerate your career and become recession-proof. ‘Here’s a great book for the right time . . . This is the best guide I have seen for how to present your unique talents to the world in a time wherein innovation and creativity to succeed will matter more than ever.’—Harry S. Dent Jr., author of The Demographic Cliff

Population An Introduction to Concepts and Issues

When I think about population growth in the world, I conjure up an image of a bus
hurtling down the highway toward what appears to be a cliff. The bus is
semiautomatic and has no driver in charge of its progress. Some of the
passengers on ...

Population  An Introduction to Concepts and Issues

Author: John R. Weeks

Publisher: Cengage Learning

ISBN: 1305545095

Page: 608

View: 759

John R. Weeks's POPULATION introduces students to population issues, concepts, and theories by encompassing the entire field of demography, including both principle and practice. From fertility and mortality rates to agricultural production and urbanization, Weeks consistently engages students through compelling writing, comprehensive explication, and intriguing essays-giving students their best opportunity to truly master core demographic concepts. Important Notice: Media content referenced within the product description or the product text may not be available in the ebook version.

The International Imperative in Higher Education

The causes are many—such as a “demographic cliff” in Japan and in some
European countries, significantly reducing the numbers of university-age young
people, especially too few students enrolling in science, technology, engineering,
and ...

The International Imperative in Higher Education

Author: Philip G. Altbach

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

ISBN: 9462093385

Page: 198

View: 229

21st century higher education faces immense changes—from the broad impact of globalization to the implications of massification and the growth of enrollments worldwide. The International Imperative in Higher Education focuses on most of the central elements affecting universities worldwide. Included among the themes analyzed are global issues such as corruption, the continuing impact of the brain drain and the phenomenon of brain exchange, the role of English in internationalization, changes in the environment for publishing and knowledge distribution, and academic freedom. The specific elements of internationalization, such as growing commercialization, and the role of agents and recruiters as a part of global student flows are considered. The role of the academic profession in a rapidly changing university environment is also discussed. Special attention is paid to China and India, the world’s two largest academic systems, and the specific challenges faced by them. This book consists of 40 concise essays analyzing key aspects of global higher education. They bring together broad analysis and an underlying concern for the public good aspects of higher education in a comparative and international framework.

Health and Nutrition in Adolescents and Young Women Preparing for the Next Generation

... the 'youth bulge' has the potential to bring great economic prosperity. In
contrast, many high-income countries face a 'demographic cliff' where a smaller
pool of young people poses major economic and social challenges. In both
contexts ...

Health and Nutrition in Adolescents and Young Women  Preparing for the Next Generation

Author: Z.A. Bhutta

Publisher: Karger Medical and Scientific Publishers

ISBN: 3318026727

Page: 144

View: 680

Nutrition of young women and its effect on offspring is an almost neglected topic in developed and developing countries alike. Under- as well as overnutrition of the mother can negatively program the child's health: Maternal undernutrition and micronutrient deficiencies are related to both low birth weight and intrauterine growth retardation. Moreover, they also result in negative epigenetic programming both during conception and in the newborn. Obese mothers, on the other hand, may produce offspring with a lower life expectancy, a fact which could be related to the higher risk of developing metabolic syndrome in adult life. This book provides insights into the influence of maternal health and nutrition on both fetal and postnatal growth and health of the offspring. Contributions focus on future mothers from their adolescence to pregnancy, thus providing valuable information for the clinician involved in the care of adolescents and young women.

IPMA HR News

The encouragement of early retirements and the need to lower costs resulted in a
phenomenon best described by the term “ Demographic Cliff . ” A demographic
cliff occurs when a substantial portion of a workforce of similar age simply ...

IPMA HR News

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN:

Page:

View: 900

Harvard Business Review

But this must change - and so must public policy - or companies will find
themselves running off a demographic cliff as ... the urgent message of this timely
article , the result of a yearlong study of the business implications of population
change .

Harvard Business Review

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN:

Page:

View: 512

Fearful Symmetry

But just as important was the demographic dividend Foot describes . Its
evaporation coincided with our ... We are teetering on the edge of a demographic
cliff , and we have one foot out in the air . 24 Help Wanted Labour shortages on a
 ...

Fearful Symmetry

Author: Brian Lee Crowley

Publisher:

ISBN:

Page: 359

View: 298

In the 1960s, Canada began a seismic shift away from the core policies and values upon which the country had been built. A nation of 'makers' transformed itself into a nation of 'takers.' Crowley argues that the time has come for the pendulum to swing back'back to a time when Canadians were less willing to rely on the state for support; when people went where the work was rather than waiting for the work to come to them. Thought-provoking, meticulously detailed and ultimately polarizing, Fearful Symmetry is required reading for anyone who is interested in where this country began, where it's been, and where it's going.

BAR International Series

However , the model is actually dependent on the type of individual modelled :
lemming - like , they blindly follow normative rules over the demographic cliff . 49
intensity of occupation by Native Tlingit inhabitants was completely independent
 ...

BAR International Series

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN:

Page:

View: 722

Settlement Archaeology in a Fjordland Archipelago

However , the model is actually dependent on the type of individual modelled :
lemming - like , they blindly follow normative rules over the demographic cliff . “
intensity of occupation by Native Tlingit inhabitants was completely independent
of ...

Settlement Archaeology in a Fjordland Archipelago

Author: Quentin Mackie

Publisher: British Archaeological Reports Limited

ISBN:

Page: 102

View: 548

Mackie's specialised study aims to assess the so-called social complexity' of hunter-gatherers based on an analysis of the spatial patterning of communities on Western Vancouver Island in Canada. Much of the study contains a methodology, that includes the use of GIS, for determining the mobility, building and social practice of populations on the Northwest coast of Canada.

Ecology

The average number of chicks population size has varied between 800 and 1300
pairs fledged per nest by other pairs nesting on the same cliff in six clearly
separate colonies , which among them ( local reproductive success ) was used to
test ...

Ecology

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN:

Page:

View: 175

Death and the Metropolis

A powerful analysis of demographic patterns in London over the 'long eighteenth century', concentrating on mortality but also including data on marital fertility, population structure and migration.

Death and the Metropolis

Author: John Landers

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

ISBN: 9780521028547

Page: 436

View: 822

A powerful analysis of demographic patterns in London over the 'long eighteenth century', concentrating on mortality but also including data on marital fertility, population structure and migration. The evidence indicates that mortality in London was generally much higher than in other settlements in England.

At the Cliff s Edge

Two focus schools in the district were selected ( one elementary and one high
school ) for in - depth analysis . Once the sites for this work were procured , the
researcher created population clusters ( central office , principals , teachers , and
a ...

At the Cliff s Edge

Author: Matthew Militello

Publisher:

ISBN:

Page: 534

View: 662

Perspectives on Work

... shift with the growing use of unmanned aircraft . Although not limited to the
military sector , the demographics of the workforce are a particular strategic
challenge here . Termed the “ demographic cliff , ” there are military facilities in
which a ...

Perspectives on Work

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN:

Page:

View: 841