The Demographic Cliff

Bestselling author and financial guru Harry Dent shows why we’re facing a “great deflation” after five years of desperate stimulus — and what to do about it now Throughout his long career as an economic forecaster, Harry Dent has ...

The Demographic Cliff

Author: Harry S. Dent Jr.

Publisher: Penguin

ISBN: 0698156862

Page: 368

View: 793

Bestselling author and financial guru Harry Dent shows why we’re facing a “great deflation” after five years of desperate stimulus — and what to do about it now Throughout his long career as an economic forecaster, Harry Dent has relied on a not-so-secret weapon: demographics. Studying the predictable things people do as they age is the ultimate tool for understanding trends. For instance, Dent can tell a client exactly when people will spend the most on potato chips. And he can explain why our economy has risen and fallen with the peak spending of generations, and why we now face a growing demographic cliff with the accelerating retirement of the Baby Boomers around the world. Dent predicted the impact of the Boomers hitting their highest growth in spending in the 1990s, when most economists saw the United States declining. And he anticipated the decline of Japan in the 1990s, when economists were proclaiming it would overtake the U.S. economy. But now, Dent argues, the fundamental demographics have turned against the United States and will hit more countries ahead. Inflation rises when a larger than usual block of younger people enter the workforce, and it wanes when large numbers of older people retire, downsize their homes, and cut their spending. The mass retirement of the Boomers won’t just hold back inflation; it and massive debt deleveraging will actually cause deflation—weakening the economy the most from 2014 into 2019. Dent explores the implications of his controversial predictions. He offers advice on retirement planning, health care, real estate, education, investing, and business strategies. For instance . . . BUSINESSES should get lean and mean now. Identify segments that you can clearly dominate and sell off or shut down others. If you don’t, the economy will do it for you, more painfully and less profitably. INVESTORS should sell stocks by mid-January 2014 and look to buy them back in 2015 or later at a Dow as low as 5,800. FAMILIES should wait to buy real estate in areas where home prices have gone back to where the bubble started in early 2000. GOVERNMENTS need to stop the endless stimulus that creates more bubbles and kills the middle class, and should assist in restructuring the unprecedented debt bubble of 1983–2008. Dent shows that if you take the time to understand demographic data, using it to your advantage isn’t all that difficult. By following his suggestions, readers will be able to find the upside to the downturn and learn how to survive and prosper during the most challenging years ahead.

The Demographic Cliff Deluxe

The Deluxe Edition of The Demographic Cliff includes over 50 minutes of exclusive video of Harry S. Dent, Jr. discussing each chapter in-depth with his trademark insight, knowledge, and passion.

The Demographic Cliff Deluxe

Author: Harry S. Dent Jr.

Publisher: Penguin

ISBN: 0698166787

Page: 368

View: 202

The Deluxe Edition of The Demographic Cliff includes over 50 minutes of exclusive video of Harry S. Dent, Jr. discussing each chapter in-depth with his trademark insight, knowledge, and passion. Bestselling author and financial guru Harry Dent shows why we're facing a decade-long “great deflation”—and what to do about it. Throughout his long career as an economic forecaster, Harry Dent has relied on demographics—the ultimate tool for predicting both big and small trends, decades in advance. Now he explains what’s going to happen to our economy with the accelerating retirements of the Baby Boomers. Inflation rises when a larger than usual block of younger people enter the workforce, and it wanes when large numbers of older people retire, downsize their homes, and cut their spending. The mass retirement of the Boomers won’t just hold back inflation, it will actually cause deflation—with a downturn and periodic crises from 2014 until about 2023. Dent explores the implications of his controversial predictions for retirement planning, healthcare, real estate, education, investing, and business strategies. His advice will help readers survive and prosper during the challenging years ahead.

Zero Hour

Now he returns with the definitive guide to protect your investments and prosper in the age of the anti-globalist backlash.

Zero Hour

Author: Harry S. Dent, Jr.

Publisher: Penguin

ISBN: 052553606X

Page: 336

View: 367

Harry S. Dent Jr., bestselling author of The Demographic Cliff and The Sale of a Lifetime, predicted the populist wave that has driven the Brexit vote, the election of Donald Trump, and other recent shocks around the world. Now he returns with the definitive guide to protect your investments and prosper in the age of the anti-globalist backlash. The turn of the 2020s will mark an extremely rare convergence of low points for multiple political, economic, and demographic cycles. The result will be a major financial crash and global upheaval that will dwarf the Great Recession of the 2000s—and maybe even the Great Depression of the 1930s. We’re facing the onset of what Dent calls “Economic Winter.” In Zero Hour, he and Andrew Pancholi (author of The Market Timing Report newsletter) explain all of these cycles, which influence everything from currency valuations to election returns, from economic growth rates in Asia to birthrates in Europe. You’ll learn, for instance: • Why the most-hyped technologies of recent years (self-driving cars, artificial intelligence, virtual reality, blockchain) won’t pay off until the 2030s. • Why China may be the biggest bubble in the global economy (and you’d be a fool to invest there). • Why you should invest in the healthcare and pharmaceutical industries, and pull out of real estate and automotive. • Why putting your faith in gold is a bad idea. Fortunately, Zero Hour includes a range of practical strategies to help you turn the upheaval ahead to your advantage, so your family can be prepared and protected.

The Sale of a Lifetime

In this pressing book, you'll learn not only why a collapse is imminent, but how to identify bubbles and tune in to the cycles driving that drive booms and busts.

The Sale of a Lifetime

Author: Harry S. Dent, Jr.

Publisher: Penguin

ISBN: 0735217750

Page: 272

View: 767

After the Roaring '20s came the Great Depression. After the Roaring 2000s came the Great Recession. We're now entering the winter season of the 80-Year Four Season Economic Cycle. It's during this season that we'll clear the decks with a devastating crash and debilitating deflation. The economy and markets will shed the excesses created during the preceding fall bubble boom season and prepare the soil for new blossoming in innovation and a spring boom. After the blustering bull market of 2009-2015, we are now preparing for a shakeout more painful than anything we've seen before. We have eight years of unprecedented government stimulus and money creation to thank for stretching this bubble beyond imagination and making the burst more painful than anything we've ever experienced. There's no better guide to financial cycles than Harry S. Dent Jr., the bestselling author of The Demographic Cliff and many other books, and the editor of the Boom & Bust newsletter. For more than 30 years he has earned a reputation for eerily accurate predictions about the world economy and the financial markets. Now Dent has an urgent new warning about the next crisis. The consequences will be devastating--but there's a bright side that he's calling "the sale of a lifetime." For anyone who heeds the signs and follows Dent's advice, the looming correction is a once-in-a-century opportunity to gather immense wealth. In this pressing book, you'll learn not only why a collapse is imminent, but how to identify bubbles and tune in to the cycles driving that drive booms and busts. Practical, accessible, and illuminating, The Sale of a Lifetime will protect you from the tough challenges ahead and help you cash in on the unique opportunities of the next few years. At stake is nothing less than your entire financial future.

IPMA HR News

The encouragement of early retirements and the need to lower costs resulted in a
phenomenon best described by the term “ Demographic Cliff . ” A demographic
cliff occurs when a substantial portion of a workforce of similar age simply ...

IPMA HR News

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN:

Page:

View: 686

Stand Out Succeed

. . This is the best guide I have seen for how to present your unique talents to the world in a time wherein innovation and creativity to succeed will matter more than ever.’—Harry S. Dent Jr., author of The Demographic Cliff

Stand Out   Succeed

Author: Christy Frank

Publisher: Nero

ISBN: 1863957642

Page: 288

View: 348

In today’s economy, being qualified is not enough . . . Do you want advice on how to stand out in a crowded marketplace? Do you want to take your career to the next level and beyond? In Stand Out & Succeed, career and business strategist Christy Frank explains how the job market really works, and shows you the strategies, psychology and tactics you need to know to get a lucrative, recession-proof career you love. The biggest problem with finding a job today is that we actually have two job markets – the public and the gated – and 95 per cent of people don’t know how to perform well in either. Stand Out & Succeed is both practical and transformational, giving readers a new perspective on themselves and showing them how they can attract potential employers or clients. Written for graduates, freelancers and professionals alike, Stand Out & Succeed is a cutting-edge guide that shows you how to discover your passion, accelerate your career and become recession-proof. ‘Here’s a great book for the right time . . . This is the best guide I have seen for how to present your unique talents to the world in a time wherein innovation and creativity to succeed will matter more than ever.’—Harry S. Dent Jr., author of The Demographic Cliff

Harvard Business Review

Long - standing human resource practice is to invest heavily in youth and push
out older workers . But this must change - and so must public policy - or
companies will find themselves running off a demographic cliff as baby boomers
age .

Harvard Business Review

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN:

Page:

View: 548

BAR International Series

However , the model is actually dependent on the type of individual modelled :
lemming - like , they blindly follow normative rules over the demographic cliff . 49
intensity of occupation by Native Tlingit inhabitants was completely independent
 ...

BAR International Series

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN:

Page:

View: 349

Settlement Archaeology in a Fjordland Archipelago

However , the model is actually dependent on the type of individual modelled :
lemming - like , they blindly follow normative rules over the demographic cliff . “
intensity of occupation by Native Tlingit inhabitants was completely independent
of ...

Settlement Archaeology in a Fjordland Archipelago

Author: Quentin Mackie

Publisher: British Archaeological Reports Limited

ISBN:

Page: 101

View: 335

Mackie's specialised study aims to assess the so-called social complexity' of hunter-gatherers based on an analysis of the spatial patterning of communities on Western Vancouver Island in Canada. Much of the study contains a methodology, that includes the use of GIS, for determining the mobility, building and social practice of populations on the Northwest coast of Canada.

At the Cliff s Edge

A number of factors were instrumental in the selection of participants in each
cluster : identification of key actors via immersion in various district settings ,
consent of actors to participate , and a diverse vector of demographic
characteristics of ...

At the Cliff s Edge

Author: Matthew Militello

Publisher:

ISBN:

Page: 534

View: 363

University on Trial

The demographic cliff where a sharp decline in eighteen - to twenty - year - olds
in the total population begins has been reached , and the smaller , more
vulnerable colleges of the nation have begun to disappear . Graduate studies are
in ...

University on Trial

Author: Robert A. Dentler

Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. : Abt Books

ISBN:

Page: 192

View: 876

Software industry Report

Manufacturers , like the rest of the economy , are nering the demographic cliff
created by the waning of the baby boom . Now that the youngest members of the
baby boom are turning thirty , manufacturers will continue to feel the shortage of ...

Software  industry Report

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN:

Page:

View: 973

240 000 Miles in Small RVs What I Learned and How Those Things Can Save You Time and Money

The first of the US Baby Boomers, who were born between 1946 and 1964, reached 65 years old on January 1, 2011.

240 000 Miles in Small RVs  What I Learned and How Those Things Can Save You Time and Money

Author: Chuck Botts

Publisher: Dog Ear Publishing

ISBN: 9781457533051

Page: 160

View: 421

The first of the US Baby Boomers, who were born between 1946 and 1964, reached 65 years old on January 1, 2011. They will retire at an average rate of 4.5 +/- 0.5 million per year, or 12,300 every day over those next 18 years. (Source: "The Demographic Cliff " page 19, Figure 1-5 immigration adjusted birth index by Harry S. Dent, Jr.) Some will buy an RV to travel in North America. Some will go full time and become Snow Birds, going south in the winter and North in the summers, other, like us, will live at home and travel only in the best season for an area. We were often asked about our choice oa a small RV without a tow. Our answer is that the size of your RV depends on how much stuff you must carry to support your lifestyle. RVs larger than 25 feet start to have maneuverability problems on normal streets, tight corners, parking lots, bridge limit due to their weight, and sinking in soft ground when parked. These problems are solved with an additional smaller tow vehicle that is used for touring, resulting in a different way to tour than ours. Now, that large RV must first be parked where it will not be broken into before going off to tour in the tow vehicle and then retrying to the your RV for the night. Our way is we do our touring directly from our small RV, moving on to the next RV Park for the night. We also travel at the cars speed limits rather that than the reduced speed limit for those that tow.

Proceedings of the Western Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies and the Western Division American Fisheries Society

Ten years ago there were almost 15 million hunters . Five years ago more than
13 million . Now , 12 . 5 million . A 10 percent decline over 10 years , and a 4
percent decline over five years . Worse , we ' re on the edge of a demographic
cliff .

Proceedings of the Western Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies and the Western Division  American Fisheries Society

Author: Western Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies (U.S.)

Publisher:

ISBN:

Page:

View: 691

Vols. for 1978- include the proceedings of the Western Division, American Fisheries Society.

What s Wrong with globalization

7 ; Andrew Taylor , “ Asian economies near ' demographic cliff , ” FINANCIAL
Times , August 13 , 2007 , p . 4 ; Brooke Masters & Rebecca Knight , “ Concern
over talent shortage , ” FINANCIAL Times , August 13 , 2007 , p . 3 . 44.

What s Wrong with  globalization

Author: Thomas Covell Fischer

Publisher:

ISBN:

Page: 257

View: 731

“Globalization” – an economic phenomenon that has dominated the late 20th and early 21st centuries – is poorly understood. Politicians and the media often portray it in its worst light: outsourcing, offshoring, job loss, intellectual property piracy, diminished U.S. influence. But globalization has positive impacts as well: poverty reduction, U.S. export growth, harmonization of standards and practices, greater peace and security. Unlike many books that lionize or demonize globalization, this one seeks to set the record straight. Globalization is neither an unvarnished virtue nor an unmitigated vice. Rather, it is a subtle process that has both virtues (economic growth) and vices (dislocation). It has already lifted millions of persons out of grinding poverty and reduced the spread of disease. But, it also has spurred the migration of workers and increased competition for resources. Unfortunately, globalization's vices are all too immediate and evident, whereas its virtues are often muted and long-term. This recent financial crisis is a prime example of global disjunction. The financial services industry is clearly global. Yet its regulation is national or regional. But if the response to this crisis produces better coordination and greater economic stability and growth, all participants are likely to be better off. This book is also comprehensive, not examining one aspect of globalization (for example, jobs or climate change) in isolation, but treating the topic as a whole. Further, it makes suggestions to improve the process. The whole world is in flux. To a degree, change is inevitable. If globalization has its flaws – and it does – it has enormous potential as well. How do we preserve the best of these and avoid the worst?

Business Review Weekly

If typical human - resource practices are not changed , the magazine says
companies will find themselves " running off a demographic cliff " , left without
enough talented staff . The report also remarks on the majority of companies that
offer no ...

Business Review Weekly

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN:

Page:

View: 945

Oak Cliff

The community of Oak Cliff is one of progress and transformation, experiencing a "rebirth" over the last few decades.

Oak Cliff

Author: Mary Elliott Skinner

Publisher: Arcadia Publishing

ISBN: 1439656525

Page: 96

View: 135

The community of Oak Cliff is one of progress and transformation, experiencing a “rebirth” over the last few decades. Covering approximately one fourth of Dallas County, Oak Cliff has become one of the most ethnically diverse and culturally opulent neighborhoods in the state of Texas. From the events surrounding the death of Pres. John F. Kennedy to the demographic shifts over the last 40 to 50 years, Oak Cliff has become a symbol of inimitability, re-establishing its image as one of the most desirable neighborhoods in the United States.

The Demographics of Empire

... G.W.B. Huntingford , “ Miscellaneous Records Relating to the Nandi and Kony
Tribes , ” Journal of the Royal Anthropological Institute of Great Britain and
Ireland 57 ( July - December 1927 ) : 417–61 ; and J. A. Massam , The Cliff
Dwellers of ...

The Demographics of Empire

Author: Karl Ittmann

Publisher:

ISBN:

Page: 292

View: 860

The Demographics of Empire is a collection of essays examining the multifaceted nature of the colonial science of demography in the last two centuries. The contributing scholars of Africa and the British and French empires focus on three questions: How have historians, demographers, and other social scientists understood colonial populations? What were the demographic realities of African societies and how did they affect colonial systems of power? Finally, how did demographic theories developed in Europe shape policies and administrative structures in the colonies? The essays approach the subject as either broad analyses of major demographic questions in Africa’s history or focused case studies that demonstrate how particular historical circumstances in individual African societies contributed to differing levels of fertility, mortality, and migration. Together, the contributors to The Demographics of Empire question demographic orthodoxy, and in particular the assumption that African societies in the past exhibited a single demographic regime characterized by high fertility and high mortality.